My dears,
You have already seen the VERY PROBABLE EVOLUTION - TREND and TENDENCE - FOR THE DOW JONES over TIME.
It looks - VERY PROBABLE - to be alike=the same=a function of REPARTITION=DISTRIBUTION FOR THE "SIN(E)`S" - climbing on the Devil`s Staircase - INSIDE THE GAUSSIAN LIKELIHOODS FIELD, right ???
It`s a kind of MAGIC=GAMBLING !
It's a kind of magic
It's a kind of magic
A kind of magic
One dream one soul one prize one goal
One golden glance of what should be
It's a kind of magic
One shaft of light that shows the way
No mortal man can win this day
It's a kind of magic
The bell that rings inside your mind
Is challenging the doors of time
It's a kind of magic
The waiting seems eternity
The day will dawn of sanity
Is this a kind of magic
It's a kind of magic
" Overview: Black swan theory
Taleb, bestselling author of Fooled by Randomness, treats uncertainty and randomness as a single idea....
... Not all experts deserve the title
Taleb also questions the authority of experts. The "truth" behind science is limited to certain areas and methods, and in many areas having an academic degree and presenting oneself as a scientist is irrelevant. Indeed, authority can stifle empirical experience which, so many times, has proven to have a sounder base for accuracy.... "